Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Feb 13, 2015

Plenty of waves on the way after the big stuff fades out.

This weekend will fade out a little more than originally anticipated, but there will still be plenty of perfect days to surf. In fact, we will continue with a full week of swell and a couple more big days early next week. This February has been amazing! It’s been a while since I’ve really seen Rincon turn on consistently. It used to do this more often.

The breakdown:

Saturday: Still fairly huge in the morning but fading throughout the day. Expect to see some 2-4ft overhead surf in the morning with the rogue double overhead set here and there during the early morning hours with super glassy conditions. By evening it will be down to head high.
Sunday: Head high conditions possibly bigger at the most exposed breaks. The little NW push will fade out as the day goes on. The winds will pick up drastically by late morning. The crowds will be intense this day just about everywhere.
Monday: Chest to head high with hard NE winds. Tucked away spots will be clean, but the north side of Rincon will be chopped out early.
Tuesday: Double overhead and glassy conditions. A new NW swell with a decent period in the 14 second range and hard east winds will make all the west facing beaches perfect.
Wednesday: Almost a repeat of Tuesday but fading conditions through the day.
Thursday/Friday: Waist to chest high leftovers and glassy conditions.

Using Automated Forecast Tools:

Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.