2015 hurricane season – Rincon Surf Report and Wave Forecast for Puerto Rico – Surfing Puerto Rico

Rincon Surf Report – Thursday, Oct 1, 2015

JG — Thu, 01 Oct 2015 13:17:49 +0000

Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – August 18, 2015

JG — Tue, 18 Aug 2015 23:03:22 +0000

We finally have a tropical system with some potential!

Don’t everyone look at it at the same time. We don’t want to scare it away. Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the open Atlantic between us and Africa. I was looking at the wind shear maps a few days ago and noticed that a small bubble of light shear was starting to form right about where Danny is right now and where he’ll be in another couple of days. If that sticks he might form into a Hurricane as currently forecast. As far as waves are concerned his track is currently set to take the low road underneath PR. If this happens he will most likely to be sheared apart the closer he gets to the island, but he’ll give a solid push of swell at the southeast. He’ll be a big enough system to make some swell on the north side of the island as well due to the pressure gradient and movement of the system. We have a high chance of surf one way or another from this system for just about every part of the island except Rincon.

What do we have to look forward to in Rincon?

Well the dream scenario is that Danny takes the high road and then parks just north of the Bahamas and goes cat 5 only to retrograde east southeast before going out to sea. There is about a .000000001% chance of that happening. If it did it would be EPIC. Rincon would turn into Indo. But let’s focus on reality. I’m seeing plenty of activity on satellite imagery off the eastern coast of the US. Nothing major, but there should be enough weather to keep a knee to waist high longboard wave pointed at Rincon for a few days to come. The lower tides will be best to welcome the tiny background swell. This week has been great for surf lessons so far and it looks to continue for a few days.

We’re heading into September, if it’s gonna happen – it’s gonna happen now.

Between now and the end of September is when the tropics peak. If we’re gonna see any action, now is the time it will happen. Fix any dings in your boards and get an early prep for the season. We might actually get to surf some real waves before November.

Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – July 14, 2015

JG — Tue, 14 Jul 2015 12:07:05 +0000

Tropical Storm Claudette forms – no major surf expected.

Tropical Storm Claudette is actually looking decent on satellite imagery, but she just doesn’t have the right trajectory or amount of strength to be a significant surf generator. If she was dipping down or intensifying or both then we could see a better chance at some tropical swell. Unfortunately, she’s doing the opposite of that. She’s moving away from us (as she has since formation) and is going to weaken. We still might see some background swell at some point over the next couple of days, but don’t expect too much.

Keep an eye on different parts of the island.

There are tropical waves passing the lower Atlantic and Caribbean. They have no chance whatsoever of forming down there, but they do have the ability to make fun waves at certain unique spots on the island. The southeast corner of PR has plenty of opportunities. If a wave is strong enough pressure-wise the north side of the island can see some fun surf as well. Now is the time to explore.

When does a higher latitude storm give Rincon waves?

When it’s very strong and has a solid high pressure build in behind it to amplify it’s backside fetch. We need a long fetch pointed at us to get surf no matter what force of nature is causing it. Also, if we do get a larger high latitude storm and it happens to make a wobble south or dip down we almost always get some good swell. Rapid intensification is also good for groundswell. When a storm sits kinda stationary in our swell wind and then rapidly intensifies it sets a bomb off in the ocean. Anything Category 3 and above in our swell window will generally give us good surf. These are the scenarios to watch for. I hope we see it happen this season.