First Big Swell of the 2014/2015 Winter Season May be Here Soon!

The models are trending on the first real dip in the jetstream in a long time. The front tied in with this dip is currently forecast to pull off Hatteras and deepen off the coast of New York. Classic cold-front swell and possibly our first big swell of the winter season might show up as early as Monday afternoon.

While we wait to see what happens next week, the surf will remain small here in Rincon. It turns out that the Tropical Disturbance near us amplified and moved a little quicker than forecast as well as the high pressure behind the previously stalled front. This means that the waves that were coming Today through Saturday have already come in (explaining the surprise waves of yesterday). We might still have some leftover background swell today and tomorrow, but by the weekend we will most likely be flat, unless this Tropical Disturbance becomes something special.

The North side of the island should have plenty of waist to chest high waves and possibly light winds from here through the weekend.