erika – Rincon Surf Report and Wave Forecast for Puerto Rico – Surfing Puerto Rico

Rincon Surf Report – Saturday, Aug 29, 2015

JG — Sat, 29 Aug 2015 14:07:15 +0000

Rincon Surf Report – Friday, Aug 28, 2015

JG — Fri, 28 Aug 2015 19:57:16 +0000

Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – August 27, 2015

JG — Fri, 28 Aug 2015 00:38:33 +0000

We’re about to get hit with more rain than waves.

As stated before Erika is a larger and more resilient storm than Danny. I don’t recommend thinking Erika will just be another Danny. There will be some weather tomorrow. I think the southern coasts and the east side of the island will see the worst of it tomorrow and then we’ll get the leftovers on Saturday. Tropical Storm Erika has been forecast to move a little higher north but she seems pretty stubborn and is a little lower latitude than most predicted. The front of the storm has absolutely no rain and weak winds. The back side of the storm is where the action is. Once that side of the storm makes its way to island we’ll see a lot of flooding so be careful. Most of the swell in the ocean right now is east swell and that probably won’t change. The storm was also forecast to be moving along quicker than it is currently moving. This means the whole process of Erika passing over us might be dragged out and for our side of the island the worst weather will be seen after she passes.

Long term outlook:

Tropical Storm Erika is probably going to degenerate into an open wave while passing over Dominican and Hispanola, but she might be enough intact to get going again near the Bahamas. Just north of the Bahamas is our sweet spot for NW tropical swell, but the storm needs a solid wind field in all quadrants. The shear is forecast to be low so if she can get high enough and power up fast enough we could see some NW swell into next week.

Rincon Surf Report – Thursday, Aug 27, 2015

JG — Thu, 27 Aug 2015 13:40:06 +0000

Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – August 26, 2015

JG — Wed, 26 Aug 2015 17:31:13 +0000

Tropical Storm Erika hits Puerto Rico tomorrow night! Ready?

Hurricane Danny was a tiny little thing that got sheared to pieces. It didn’t even rain in Rincon – not one single drop. It disintegrated prior to reaching the island though. Tropical Storm Erika is a bigger and more resilient weather system. I think the heavy shear and dry air will definitely kill it as a Tropical Cyclone, but I forecast more actual rain and wind with this storm. Be prepared for the worst and hope for the best.

Surf?

For most of the island, yes. The southeast and north coasts of the island should see more waves from this system than the tiny micro swell that came with Danny. The wind field is larger and has always made some easterly swell and has always had solid easterly movement. The southeast should see some head high waves and north side of the island will see some overhead surf. Bear in mind that the timing will mean everything. You’ll want to be there when the winds are just right and there’s enough swell. The window for that to happen will be close to when the weather will be the worst so be careful! When it all goes to crap the currents and wind will make the ocean a bad place to be. For the southeast, your window will be on the approach of the storm as the winds get pulled offshore up until approach. For the north coast of the island, your window will be just long enough after she passes to still have swell, south winds, and not victory at sea conditions (that’s going to be a very short window if at all). Here in Rincon will might see some wrap-around swell in the knee to waist high range when whatever is left of Erika passes us. After she passes us, if she can regenerate and get her act together over by the Bahamas we could see some fun WNW swell. I see it more as a possibility with this weather system than I did with Danny. I’ll try to have good coverage on this storm because I see more potential with it than I did with Danny (and we all saw what a disappointment he turned out to be).