Small surf for Rincon and big surf for the rest of the Atlantic.

We have been having a very long run of small surf in Rincon. This February has been great for surf lessons here in Rincon and boring for everyone else. Every time I look at a satellite loop or wind model it looks like the main image above – a giant Armageddon low pressure with high winds dumping heaps of swell at the other side of the Atlantic. I’m sick of it. Spain, Portugal, Morocco, and just about every other place on the other side of the Atlantic has just been all time and will continue to see endless long period swell. Something has to give. We can’t go a whole season with just background swell. Sooner or later one of these storms has to point some swell at us. We’ll have some swell over the weekend starting Friday, but it will probably be on the mild side. Look for chest to head high surf with bigger sets. The wind is forecast to be hard out of the east so look for wind protection. Hopefully we’ll see a major weather pattern change and get some swell pointed directly at us soon!

Looks like another NW swell for surfing Rincon, Puerto Rico.

Again we have a low pulling off the Carolinas with gale force winds forecast to form right in our swell window at a lower lattitude. We should get fun waves from this weather system. If the storm can bomb out or drop drastically in pressure we could be looking a very major swell. Currently the models are not trending on that happening, but a surfer can dream right? Most likely we will have another replay of last week with several days of chest to head high surf and mild winds. The winds should clock south a day or two before the main bulk of swell so look for some early swell possibly coming in Wednesday night at the more exposed breaks. The main arrival is most likely Thursday or Friday though. Expect conditions to fade out over the weekend.

Long Range Surf Forecast for the Month of February in Rincon, Puerto Rico.

Historically, February is the most consistent months for surf in Rincon, Puerto Rico. This February is looking like it will continue to follow the historical pattern. I anticipate more minor swells and maybe one or two big pulses. There seems to be a steady flow in the weather and a more balanced pattern tends to lead to consistent but not huge surf. It’s when the energy seems to get pent up that we see violent storms and bigger swells form. I also can’t help but to notice that we continually have open tropical waves passing through the Mid-Atlantic and Caribbean. I wouldn’t be surprised to see one team up with a sub-tropical low and make a decent swell North of Puerto Rico as has happened previously in March the past couple of years.