It’s not looking good – no surf for Rincon.

The forecast is simple – we will stay flat for the next 10 days. But I guess I owe it to everyone to at least explain why. Looking at the weather chart above, if all the of the H’s were L’s and all the L’s were H’s we would have the biggest and best swell of all time. Unfortunately, that’s the opposite of what we have now. All of the fetch over the Atlantic pushes waves away from Rincon, not towards it. Wind around a high pressure system spins clockwise and wind around low pressure systems spins counterclockwise. There is a weak front trying to push off the states that might make a waist high background swell at some point, but that is about it.

Where can you find waves?

Spain and Portugal will be on fire next week. Can’t go over there? If you’re spring break is starting to look broken, don’t worry. The north coast of the island should have a decent supply of wind swell the remainder of the month. Mornings can offer at least a semi-clean wave and there is enough coastline to avoid extreme crowds if you’re willing to surf a sloppier wave. Easterly wind swell limits your options though and you will need to find a spot that is very exposed to have any size in the surf.

After a terrible flatspell, there is hope for surfing Puerto Rico.

We will continue to stay small to flat for the next few days, but we finally have some hope on the horizon. This flatspell during prime season has been rough and depressing. Hopefully all of that comes to an end on on the 7th of January, 2016. This coming Thursday should see something. The possible swell has been pegged consistently on model runs and if the trough can get it’s predicted swoop out in the Atlantic as planned, we should see some fun head high surf and decent conditions. Small to flat conditions will persist until then. Let’s wait and see.

What happened to the surf in Rincon?

We’re looking at a one week flatspell starting from Today. One week is the minimum I’m seeing right now. But all hope is not lost. At the end of next week we might see a coldfront swell from a higher lattitude storm. However, if the track of the front doesn’t cooperate we could be in flatsville for a while. I don’t like this outlook. I hope it changes. As of right now however, this is what the weather models are saying. I don’t like it any more than you do. I’m sorry.

Rincon Will Stay Flat.

Rincon has no hope for surf for at least another week. The closest chance Rincon has to getting some waves is a small little kid or surf lesson wave mid-week. The real action will be on the north side of the island. The wind will be light in the morning and should have some glassy conditions for the background NE swell that should be filling in up there for the majority of the week. Some fun chest high waves should be on offer. The weather will stay ridiculously hot so go get in the water somewhere.

The Island has 100’s of breaks to surf that aren’t in Rincon.

Just because Rincon is going to be flat doesn’t mean that the entire island will be in the same boat. Puerto Rico is an amazing island with each corner offering it’s unique beauty and potential for surf. The southeast corner of the island has a bunch of decent spots that should be working over the next couple of days. Take a vacation from the usual and go exploring, you’re bound to have a good time one way or another.

Windy wind chop with an extra side of wind.

The next several days will be dominated by non-stop ENE winds and tiny wrap-around wind chop for Rincon. I imagine the north side of the island will be a huge terrible mess over the next few days probably seeing 2-4ft overhead size with extreme blown-out conditions. The right morning might have some just regular chop to semi-chop at times, but by the afternoon it will be VAS conditions.

Now back to Rincon. We will have perfect surf lesson conditions for almost all of January. My January outlook is taking a terrible turn for the worse. We have one shot at some “good” days in Rincon during the month of January. That opportunity will come right smack dab in the middle of the month with the opportunity of getting some long period NE swell. Otherwise wind-fest will continue and all storms will pull off the states only to push massive swells at Europe. They will get nonstop surf over there. Every single storm is going to blow up and push all of it’s energy right at Europe. Rincon will only have the hope of NE backlash. I hope February has more opportunities for swell. I remember when we used to get at least one swell event a week this time of your (sometimes two). I miss those days. Looks like we’re down to one swell event per month (sometimes two).