The surf in Rincon isn’t over yet!

Granted, we don’t have any big swell to look forward to, but we do have some opportunities for surf in the future. For the summer time, any surf is better than no surf. Expect flat conditions during the rest of the week. However, next weekend is looking pretty decent for summer time surf. The weather we’re seeing now should develop enough during the flat week to push some swell here for next weekend. Waist to chest high and glassy is what I’m hoping for on at least Saturday and Sunday. If the swell shows up early, or the weather gets a bit stronger – we could be surfing sooner than that. I’ll keep an eye on it and update during the week.

Surf from long period NE swell still on the way

We should definitely still see some long period swell show up this week. However, I think it’s going to be delayed a day more and perhaps not last as long as hoped for initially. The storm moved out and away quicker than anticipated and as a result, the fetch setup has changed. What happens on the outside buoys will be the best way to judge how long this next swell event will last. The long period swell first showed up on the far North Atlantic buoy at 7am today. Ordinarily it takes long period NE swell 48hrs to hit Rincon once it shows up on the North Atlantic buoy. This is why I’m guessing Thursday for the new arrival date of the swell. The worst case scenario would be a 7pm arrival on Wednesday night. If that happens the swell will peak overnight and we’ll have the leftovers on Thursday if the swell doesn’t last too long. How do we know how long it will last? If we see the swell stay on that buoy for a day or two we’ll know how much surf we’re going to get. I’ll be watching it closely. Even though this is the slower part of the season, it tends to be my most productive time. Having advanced notice of when the weekly or bi-weekly swell is going to show up helps me organize things better. The north side of the island (Isabela and Aguadilla) will still probably be the best place to get decent sized surf in the foot or two overhead range. Rincon will probably be waist to chest. The conditions should be glassy.

Plenty of weather in the extended forecast – more surf for Rincon!

From the looks of everything on satellite imagery of the United States, we should have some more surf lined up for next week and beyond. It’s good to have something to look forward to on the horizon. Such an active weather pattern will keep us surfing.

Surf long period NE swell mid-week.

We have something to look forward to. The weather is setting up well for this week’s anticipated long period NE swell to actually materialize. The exact arrival is going to be kind of hard to pin down, but I’m guessing Wednesday. Thursday should be decent as well. Rincon should see some chest high surf with glassy conditions. Aguadilla and Isabela should be a foot or two overhead and have glassy conditions in the morning. How long the swell will last depends on how long the swell generating weather system (aka Long Period NE Swell Machine) stays in it’s current geographical area. If it swoops out far and fast we’ll only see a couple of days of swell. If it takes a longer amount of time and amplifies, we could see the swell last into the weekend. There is plenty of secondary weather occurring at the same time, but it won’t really change things for Rincon much. Long story short, get your work done early in the week.

High pressure takes center stage – surf in Rincon next week?

This week’s long period swell has been super fun. I’d like to tell you that it will be around indefinitely, but unfortunately it will fade out today and tomorrow. Isabela and Aguadilla have been really good with these last two long period NE swells (NE swell favors that area more than Rincon in general). And the good news is that up there should continue to be fun over the weekend. Rincon will probably go small to flat with perfect surf lessons waves.

Now that we’ve gotten that out of the way, let’s talk about the next opportunity for surf here in Rincon. I still see plenty of weather over the states that suggests that something will follow the pattern we’ve seen so far with one adjustment – a longer lag. It might be a week or so, but i definitely see another long period swell on the horizon from the NE. Hopefully it will be as good as this past one. Take the time on the smaller or flat days to get work done or play with your kids.

Everybody’s working for the weekend in Rincon, PR.

The work week will be flat here in Rincon so get your work done. Meanwhile we should have another storm work it’s magic out in the North Atlantic during the work week. If it amplifies enough and gets a big enough NE fetch pointed at us, we should see another long period pulse show up for the weekend. So far all of the major models are calling for this scenario. The winds are forecast to be relatively light especially in the early hours of the day. So if you want to surf a little more size on this weekend’s swell, going up to Isabela would be the call. Rincon will probably only be about waist to chest high, but the most exposed breaks on the north side of the island should see some surf that is head high to a couple feet overhead. Arecibo should also be pretty fun too.

More surf on the way to Rincon!

I’ve been eyeballing the setup all week and have been meaning to update the forecast sooner but it’s been super busy. Sorry. The good news is that we get more surf! More long period NE swell and offshore winds. This is going to be a great swell event. Look for head high surf to fill in by this evening and max out Sunday. Due to the nature of the weather creating the swell, we’ll have residual surf persist through the entire week in the waist to chest high range. Monday and Tuesday are supposed to have south winds so several miles of coastline should be surfable without other people around. If the lower latitude low pressure system that is approaching our island turns into something else, the extended forecast can become even better. What a great April this has been so far!

Plenty of weather to keep us all surfing in Rincon.

I think this coming swell is going to be a lot of fun. We should have a decent little bump up in size for tomorrow in the head high to a foot overhead range and then a little drop in size for Friday in the chest high range. The weekend will be insanely busy, but should have plenty of surf. The winds are supposed to lay down through the weekend but pick up hard for the coming week. I hope the winds stay light. Light winds means countless chunks of coastline will be surfable and therefore a chance to surf without a crowd. Once the swell angle changes to the NNE to NE and gets a longer period behind it, the wait in between decent sets will get longer and frustration will easily build if you’re trying to surf a crowded spot.

If the swell delays slightly, Saturday could be the most frustrating day to go the beach. A major holiday weekend and tons of people looking for waves is fine if the waves are everywhere. But if the swell delays and only one or two spots have a decent wave, the whole island will pack into one break and fight it out. I want no part of that. The swell should definitely be here by Sunday though. If it shows up Saturday then great. Saturday might involve some travel time to find a secluded beach with surf to avoid aggression, disappointment, and feelings of worthlessness.

Nonstop Surf for Rincon – OH YEAH!

Seriously, when I took a look at the satellite loops this evening I couldn’t be happier. We have a steady flow of surf generating weather and the models are picking up on the closest ones giving us more NNE and NNW swell. I honestly see a couple weeks worth of surf based on current satellite imagery, but it just might be the stoke talking. This past swell has been so ridiculously perfect and fun. This has been a great season! Look for Monday and Tuesday to mellow out a little bit to a more friendly size but still be really fun. We should still see some head high surf with decent power. Monday will still see some nice overhead sets linger on. Another pulse up should arrive by mid-week and slowly fade a notch each day from Friday through the weekend.

Plenty more surf on the way for Rincon!

Wow what a busy weather map. That low that pulled up from the south was the only variable not picked up on by any of the model runs when I wrote the previous forecast. That whole setup was very rare for this time of year, but that low has been the gift that keeps on giving. The past 3 days have felt like a hurricane swell. Cranking NW swell and hard SW winds is always fun. There’s so much going on in the Atlantic right now that trying distinguish exactly how it will all contribute to the surf we see on the beach piece by piece is somewhat pointless. All you need to know is that the surf will continue to rage for the next 7 days. We shouldn’t get below waist to chest high at the main breaks and the mornings should be glassy. We might see a more onshore everywhere flow in the afternoons, but the mornings should always have a glassy option on at least one of the sides of Rincon. Wednesday looks like the scheduled arrival date for the next distinguishable pulse and we could easily see some overhead sets again with glassy conditions for the west facing spots. That pulse should linger through the weekend. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some long period swell creep in the mix as well from the far north storm, but none of the models are biting on that scenario yet – too much weather closer to the island. Have fun, stay safe, and show respect in the water.

Get ready for another major swell event!

We look to be hit with a two pronged attack. First off we will see some NNW swell fill in Tuesday evening and by Wednesday morning we should be double overhead on sets. Thursday will remain big and Friday might drop down a notch or two while round two works its way to the island. It looks like the entire Atlantic well be pushed at Puerto Rico again for the weekend so expect to see really big short period swell again and a lot of wind. I’ve noticed the nooks and crannies have been liking the shorter period swells with the higher wave heights. They will be the best call again since wind blockage will be necessary. Tres is going to fire for several days. The swell should last into early next week.

BE SAFE!

I’m not kidding. Don’t overestimate your abilities and don’t underestimate the danger out there. It is very dangerous. Let’s try and get through this swell safely and still have fun. If you’ve had the same leash on your board for a long time you might want to consider getting a new one (or two).