December is looking like a skunk month.

I have been procrastinating on writing this forecast mainly because i do not like it. All of the long range models are putting the current and future cold-fronts on a path that avoids our swell window to a large degree only to amplify them in the far Northern Atlantic and dump endless swell at Europe. This has been a pattern very common to the last couple of seasons so I’m inclined to believe that the forecasts are going to come true.

No waves in December? Really?

We should still see some waist to chest high days here and there, but for the most part no big swells are showing up on the models. I think a realistic hope is that some of the higher latitude storms get so big and strong that we get some long period NE swell which could make for some really fun days. Just make sure you don’t surf a crowded spot on those good days because long period NE swells tend to have a lot of lulls and long waits in between sets.

Short term forecast:

We stay small for the next 10 days. The conditions will be perfect for beginners, non-picky/high-stoke longboarders, and surf lessons. For everyone else, go fishing or diving! There has been so many schools of various fish running right now. Get some!

Everybody’s Surfing For The Weekend!

The models have been consistently putting a fun little chest high swell on Rincon’s beaches for the weekend. Until then it will be quite small to completely flat. Some days will have a good surf lesson wave early in the morning so if you’ve been wanting to learn to surf this will be a good week. I’ll update as necessary but count the work week out for any considerable surf.

Plenty of weather to watch for possible surf in Rincon.

We have a lot of weather going on but nothing that screams surf just yet. First of all, Tropical Depressions Nine and Ten are meaningless storms that will serve no purpose in life. Forget about them. However, that tropical blob hanging around off the coast of the Florida might be our best bet. If it can develop we’ll get decent surf as long as it can whip out a little more to the east. All of the storms suffer from westerly and southwesterly shear so don’t expect any windfield on his west side. Any swell we get will be from it’s possible movement east along with pressure gradient and a possible front or high pressure that may move the storm. If we get enough weather behind that blob we could see a week’s worth of fun surf. That’s the best case scenario. The worst case scenario (and most likely) is that the blob just gets swept away from a week front that only climbs lattitude and goes to Cananda and we get the skunk. Only time will tell. Any new swell to show up should get here around mid-week next week.

Hitchhike North if you want to surf.

Rincon will continue to get the skunk for the next 8 days on all the models. Judging by how things have been going I believe that forecast might stick. Anything can happen when it comes to weather, but it’s not looking good for Rincon. We might have some surf lesson waves and knee high long board waves on and off but even that might be inconsistent. Isabela will continue to have waves with clean conditions in the mornings. Keep an eye on the models using the viewer below for any changes. For now, go up North if you need to surf. Even the afternoon wind chop could be fun. I don’t actually advise hitchhiking it though. Hatchet Kai might not always be there to save you if things get hairy.