Hermine is right in our swell window – NW swell on the way!

Ok I know I’m kind of the boy who cried wolf at this point and everyone hates me. And yes everyone is generally angry due to extremely hot temps and extreme surf deprivation. My bad call on Gaston couldn’t have come at a worst time. However, 75W to 65W and 40N to 25N is generally the giant box that is the ideal NW swell generation zone. Hermine has a very large wind field and has been sitting right in the box for a few days and is forecast to stay in that general area and strengthen. We SHOULD get some NW during this coming week. The tropical blob that is going to be passing over us will serve to keep the winds offshore but probably won’t make any swell of its own. If anything it will add some wobble into the mix out there in the ocean. Tuesday/Wednesday has consistently been pegged as the the biggest days of NW swell. I’m doubling down on Tuesday. I think Tuesday will be the best day.

Rincon got skunked on Hurricane Gaston

Other parts of the island got decent swell from Gaston. Rincon had one semi-glorious afternoon and evening. It was better than flat, but nothing spectacular. I’m reminded of why 65W is such an important line to cross. Tropical systems that remain east of that line tend to disappoint. I got all hyped up for nothing. I really thought we’d have some long period swell for most of the week. I hang my head in shame for they were all but wishes and dreams.

How about some surf for next week?

I hope so. An early season coldfront is expected to pull off the states. It’s the front that is currently swooping up Hermine. The combination of both systems is currently causing the models to call for some possible swell for the middle of next week. If it plays out as anticipated, we could see some super fun NW swell. I would be very happy to see this happen.