Change in weather hints at possible tropical surf in the future.

I’ve said from the beginning of this year’s hurricane season that all it would take for tropical systems to fire up is low wind shear in the hot zones. There has never been a shortage of open tropical waves or surface lows. Sure enough, as you start to see more green blobs show up in the weather map above we have some possible tropical formation. The most likely tropical system to develop is in the Gulf of Mexico and won’t do much for us, but keep an eye on the surface low that is off the eastern US coast. If that little window of green closes up, there will be no tropical formation. However, if the low shear remains there’s the possibility for the surface low to gain tropical characteristics in our swell window. Also note the green area around 10N and 50W. Some strong tropical waves will be headed for that area over the course of the next couple of weeks. If the shear stays low we could start to see the tropics become more active.