no tropics – Rincon Surf Report and Wave Forecast for Puerto Rico – Surfing Puerto Rico https://rinconsurfreport.com Thu, 09 Jul 2015 13:11:10 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.3.4 Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – July 9, 2015 https://rinconsurfreport.com/surf-forecast/rincon-puerto-rico-surf-forecast-july-9-2015/ Thu, 09 Jul 2015 13:11:10 +0000 http://rinconsurfreport.com/?p=4309 Too much wind shear for any chances of tropical surf.

Look at that wind shear! No Tropical Surf!

We have a major El Niño event going on in the Pacific (read about it here). It will continue for the rest of the year. It will affect us. We will have extreme wind shear over what is normally considered the main development region for Tropical Systems in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea. This area will be closed for business during the 2015 Hurricane Season. On that note, it’s good for PR in that we almost certainly will not be hit by a major storm this season. Also, any storms that may form should get their strength in latitudes above our island, another plus. If they can travel far enough west we can get some swell from the higher latitude storms. That’s looking on the bright side. On the down side, there is most likely going to be no signifcant tropical development this season. The odds are not in our favor. I hope we get some sneaker storms in September at least. We’ll have to see.

So what do we have to look forward to?

The wind flows should be conducive to summer time surf at the summer time spots on the island. Rincon will be flat A LOT but several other nooks and crannies of the island that can take advantage of long Easterly fetch should have waves on tap for several days of each smouldering hot month of summer. Some of these breaks are on the northern coast of the island, some are on the east coast, some are in the southeast. I’m sorry I can’t be more specific on their locations, but I’ll at least try to post pictures of what I find in my summertime wave searches around the island.

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Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Sept 10, 2014 https://rinconsurfreport.com/surf-forecast/rincon-puerto-rico-surf-forecast-september-10-2014/ Wed, 10 Sep 2014 19:03:07 +0000 http://rinconsurfreport.com/?p=149 wind shear keeping the tropics on lockdown

Wind Shear and Dry Air Keeping the Tropics on Lockdown

We have some tropical disturbances, but they will have a hard time making it into our swell generation zone. Several of the key hotspots for Tropical development are seeing 40 knots of wind shear as you can see in the image above. No swell making tropical system can form in that kind of wind shear. When this happens, storms that do manage to form once steered into some nook that allows a miracle to happen never get a symmetrical wind-field which means no swell for us. The movement of the pressure/open wave can give the North side of the island some waves, but here in Rincon we stay flat. That being said. Isabela might see some waves in two or three days. This month I will be making several posts simply explaining why we will be flat for so long. I’m not looking forward to it.

Short Version:

We will stay flat for a long time. Isabela will have some wind chop over the weekend in the waist to chest high range.

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