Rincon to see two new swells back to back – YES!

Nothing makes you feel tired like not surfing for 2 months and then surfing nonstop for several days. Hopefully everyone has recuperated from the last major swell event and is ready for another week of waves. First up we have an early season coldfront bombing out in the open Atlantic. This will throw some long period NE swell at Puerto Rico Tuesday the 17th through Thursday the 19th. Before the NE swell even has a chance drop off, NW swell from Humberto (forecast to be a hurricane at the time) will show up Friday the 20th and last through the weekend. The weather responsible for the NE swell is already in place with a heavy fetch of N wind building in the North Atlantic. The only variable that has more chance for error is the NW swell from Humberto. Almost all of the models have been consistently giving a favorable forecast track of a easterly swing right in our swell window. However, the size and intensity of the storm will be important and the intensity forecast is a bit more uncertain. If the storm gets stronger than forecast and Tropical Storm Humberto turns into a stronger than forecast Hurricane, we will have huge waves. If Tropical Storm Humberto fails to to turn into Hurricane Humberto, no NW major NW swell will form. We might still see some background pulse under the less than ideal scenario mentioned prior, but not much more than a less than one day event of small waves. This time of year i watch satellite loops a lot. I’ll update the forecast again should i see any major changes, but for now it looks like we’re all surfing next week.