Possible big swell a week out; not much until then.

This high pressure blocking our swell window has been intense. Almost the entire first half of March has been wind fest. It looks like that will continue to be the case. My guess is that the entire month of March continues a lot of wind, but at least we might get more swell to punch through. I’ve been watching the long range model runs for a change all month and the 18th and 19th have been consistently seeing a nice storm right in our swell window. The runs consistently put the low right where we needs it to be to get some N to NNW swell going.

What about Sunday?

Sunday should be fun with some chest to head high surf and occasionally bigger sets with waist to chest high leftovers on Monday morning. Some of the automated surf forecast sites threw up some crazy false positives on a major swell event for Sunday – they were horribly mistaken and now correcting toward a more realistic outcome. I think I’m right on this one because I’m not seeing anything on the buoys to suggest otherwise.

So Two days next week and one day this weekend? That’s it for the rest of March?

Not necessarily. Looks like after the 17th we see a change in the flow off the states with more storms trying to dip down and out. Some are currently forecast to push through and others are not. I think after a non-stop February, we were due for a bit of slow down. That came in the first couple of weeks in March. I think the second half of March is going to rage.