Rincon is about to get windy. Small surf opportunities mid-week.
Looks like we will have no shortage of wind as high pressure will dominate most of this coming week. Mid-week we could see some waist to chest high wrap-around swell mixed with some northerly background swell. I think the Isabela area will probably be fun in the mornings and have plenty of chest to head high days this week with a moderate chop in the late morning to afternoon. I doubt even the early morning session will have glassy conditions up there, but you should at least be able to grab some fun waves. Rincon looks like it will remain surf lesson sized surf with sideshore winds at the west side spots. Next weekend is currently showing some potential on the long-range models. All in all, I believe we’ll see at least one more decent swell in April, but for now what we will get this week is more of the seasonal norm for April. This coming week is looking like trademark April.
Using Automated Forecast Tools:
Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.