Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Dec 25, 2018
Meet the next major swell event for Rincon, Puerto Rico.
Those words “Rapidly Intensifying” on the weather map are generally a good sign that we’ll get a decent swell. Especially when the low pressure center of the front is out in the open ocean. High pressure is forecast to build below the storm and possibly behind it. All of the models are calling for heavy bit of wind with this swell event. If the high pressure builds more behind the storm we could see a decent fetch setup and that could send long period NE swell for days. If the same wonky lows build in behind the storm and high pressure dominates below it, we just get easterly wind chop and scraps for the rest of the year. The jetstream has been a bit sporadic and an unfavorable shift is what snuffed out the NW swell we were hoping to see yesterday and today. Anything can happen.
I want to believe 2018 will go out with a solid swell.
As mentioned in the previous paragraph, the actual swell conditions can go either way. I’m going to get real – there is a real possibility that wind chop garbage ends 2018. Granted, with PR being the wonderful island that it is, there will still be good waves at the right spot at the right time under this highly unfavorable scenario. However, if the favorable scenario plays out (long fetch across the North Atlantic and strong storm under Iceland) we’ll all be surfing our brains out all over the place. This is the scenario I want to believe in, but I understand that it really can go either way.