Rincon Will Stay Flat.
Rincon has no hope for surf for at least another week. The closest chance Rincon has to getting some waves is a small little kid or surf lesson wave mid-week. The real action will be on the north side of the island. The wind will be light in the morning and should have some glassy conditions for the background NE swell that should be filling in up there for the majority of the week. Some fun chest high waves should be on offer. The weather will stay ridiculously hot so go get in the water somewhere.
The Island has 100’s of breaks to surf that aren’t in Rincon.
Just because Rincon is going to be flat doesn’t mean that the entire island will be in the same boat. Puerto Rico is an amazing island with each corner offering it’s unique beauty and potential for surf. The southeast corner of the island has a bunch of decent spots that should be working over the next couple of days. Take a vacation from the usual and go exploring, you’re bound to have a good time one way or another.
Using Automated Forecast Tools:
Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.