Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Oct 27, 2021

Surf In Rincon Will Be Firing!

We have a beautiful cold-front setting up right off the NE United States that should push a NW swell at us for the weekend. Whenever a cold-front is able to pull the wind south before the swell but build a solid fetch on it’s backside, you know it’s going to be a good one! We should see at least 4-5 days of decent surf. The biggest days will most likely be Saturday and Sunday. I’m expecting some sets close to double overhead. Please be careful if you’re just starting out surfing. Please control your boards. Maybe sit this one out if foam board madness has been your thing. Surf school carnage could lead to serious injury. Please use good judgement and be respectful.

Using Automated Forecast Tools:

Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.