Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Sept 25, 2014

Hitchhike North if you want to surf.

Rincon will continue to get the skunk for the next 8 days on all the models. Judging by how things have been going I believe that forecast might stick. Anything can happen when it comes to weather, but it’s not looking good for Rincon. We might have some surf lesson waves and knee high long board waves on and off but even that might be inconsistent. Isabela will continue to have waves with clean conditions in the mornings. Keep an eye on the models using the viewer below for any changes. For now, go up North if you need to surf. Even the afternoon wind chop could be fun. I don’t actually advise hitchhiking it though. Hatchet Kai might not always be there to save you if things get hairy.

Using Automated Forecast Tools:

Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.