Rincon will continue to get surf!
We finally have some fetch in our swell window! We should have some waist to chest high leftovers tomorrow and then a whole week of waves to look forward to next week! This is great! I’m so stoked right now. I really hope it works out as good as it’s been looking on the models. Monday will start out small in the waist high range and start to build through the day. We could see some head high to 2ft overhead surf on Tuesday. Tuesday will be the biggest day and the surf will slowly fade out from Wednesday onward, but each day should stay rideable and fun. The winds are forecast to be dead in the mornings and light onshore/seabreeze in the afternoons. Just about every spot in Rincon should be going off.
Using Automated Forecast Tools:
Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.