Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – Dec 13, 2021

More windswell for surfing Puerto Rico.

What can you do? At least it’s not flat like last week. We should have some surf out there at most spots all week and through the weekend. If you’re not picky you could have some fun. If you were planning on a surf trip for this swell I’d say you’re probably going to be a bit disappointed. The wind swell tends to be a bit weak and mushy and the crowds right now are getting a bit frustrated. If you’re that one person that gets the one good wave every 15 minutes instead of the other 99% of people in the line-up you’ll be happy. The good news is that if you’re open to surfing less than ideal conditions, you could surf some fun but choppy wind slop all by yourself. The size could increase drastically in the surf over the weekend, but again the conditions will be a bit challenging and the wind isn’t letting up any time soon so the drift is gonna be hard. I wish I had better news.

Using Automated Forecast Tools:

Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.