Rincon, Puerto Rico Surf Forecast – June 30, 2020

Small chance at small surf in Rincon, Puerto Rico.

So you’re telling me there’s a chance! Yes, but don’t get too excited just yet. The good news is that a low is sitting in a favorable spot for swell generation right off the coast of Florida. The bad news is that it’s not very strong and not forecast to develop. However, tropical weather can be very unpredictable so it’s worth watching in satellite loops (which is what I will be doing in desperate anticipation for any sort of formation). A slight push out away from the states and a bit more development and we could see some small scale NW swell show up. Another surf possibility is to head to the southeast corner of the island for any one of the regular tropical waves that keep passing through the Caribbean. Some days have been really fun down there.

Using Automated Forecast Tools:

Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.