Weak Cold-Front – Small surf continues for Rincon, Puerto Rico.
There is another weather activity in the Atlantic to generate some background swell over the next week. Thursday and Friday look to be the biggest days with some chest high sets possible. For the most part we’ll see little knee to waist high surf lesson waves. If you’re willing to make the drive up to the North side of the island, you’ll probably be able to fun some really fun waves when the pulses come in. The winds should stay light most of the mornings, and the NE angle to the incoming swells will be more of a direct hit up there. Late in the forecast period (this weekend), those headed to the Southeast corner of Puerto Rico should find a decent wave as well. In June, ANY surf is better than no surf!
Using Automated Forecast Tools:
Remember that no matter what a computer model tells you, what you see on the beach might be completely different. That's why i go take pictures of the beach every day. These tools help give an idea of what to expect, but weather prediction is not always exact especially the further out you try to forecast. Surf forecasting takes into account the general correlation between past weather data and resulting surf conditions. Another thing to keep in mind is the difference between actual swell height and the face height of the rideable wave it creates. For example. When the waves are forecast to have a 6ft swell at 13 seconds or higher with a NW angle we normally get waves that most people would call double over-head on sets. Swell angle is also important, especially for shorter period swell (9-11 seconds). For example 3ft at 11 seconds from the NW will make a bigger wave than 4ft at 9 seconds from the NE. Normally longer period swell (13+ seconds) will be more powerful and keep the surf size a little better even if the angle isn't a direct hit to Rincon. Generally any swell less than 9 seconds is super weak here in Rincon unless it has a lot of west in it. Also, most NE swell under 12 seconds is weak and mushy. 2ft at 8 seconds is generally small to flat. ENE swell will almost never make it into Rincon unless it was something like 10ft at 18 seconds from the ENE.